Joe Burrow's Fantasy Outlook and Projection for 2023
A Realistic Forecast for the Bengals' Star Quarterback
August 26, 2023 - At PFN, we have meticulously analyzed over 350 fantasy football players in preparation for the upcoming season. With the Bengals anticipated to employ a pass-heavy offensive scheme, we present a realistic fantasy projection for Joe Burrow.
2023 Fantasy Outlook
Burrow is poised for another stellar season in 2023. Last year, he accumulated an impressive 3507 fantasy points, ranking fourth among quarterbacks. He has a high ceiling due to his exceptional passing ability and a talented group of receivers led by Ja'Marr Chase. However, there are some factors that may slightly temper his fantasy production this year.
The Bengals' offensive line is a potential area of concern. Burrow was sacked 51 times in 2022, the fourth-highest total in the league. If the line does not improve its protection, Burrow could face more pressure and potentially suffer more injuries.
Additionally, the Bengals' schedule in 2023 features matchups against several top defenses, including the New York Jets, Buffalo Bills, and San Francisco 49ers. These games could limit Burrow's fantasy production, especially if the offensive line struggles to provide him with sufficient time to throw.
Smart Draft Pick?
Despite these potential concerns, Burrow remains a valuable fantasy asset. His high passing volume and elite target share make him a reliable source of points. While he may not reach the same heights as he did in 2022, Burrow should still be a top-10 fantasy quarterback this season.
In draft rankings, Burrow is typically being selected in the third or fourth round. At this ADP, he offers a solid return on investment. If you can acquire him at a slightly later round, he could prove to be a significant bargain.
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